Tangled String for Multi-Scale Explanation of Contextual Shifts in Stock Market

The original research question here is given by marketers in general, i.e., how to explain the changes in the desired timescale of the market. Tangled String, a sequence visualization tool based on the metaphor where contexts in a sequence are compared to tangled pills in a string, is here extended and diverted to detecting stocks that trigger changes in the market and to explaining the scenario of contextual shifts in the market. Here, the sequential data on the stocks of top 10 weekly increase rates in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange for 12 years are visualized by Tangled String. The changing in the prices of stocks is a mixture of various timescales and can be explained in the time-scale set as desired by using TS. Also, it is found that the change points found by TS coincided by high precision with the real changes in each stock price. As TS has been created from the data-driven innovation platform called Innovators Marketplace on Data Jackets and is extended to satisfy data users, this paper is as evidence of the contribution of the market of data to data-driven innovations.Comment: 16 pages and 7 figures. The author started to write this paper as an extension of the paper [20] in the reference list, but the content came to be changed substantially, not by only minor extension but to a new pape

Relationship between Externalized Knowledge and Evaluation in the Process of Creating Strategic Scenarios

Social systems are changing so rapidly that it is important for humans to make decisions considering uncertainty. A scenario is information about the series of events/actions, which supports decision makers to take actions and reduce risks. We propose Action Planning for refining simple ideas into practical scenarios (strategic scenarios). Frameworks and items on Action Planning Sheets provide participants with organized constraints, to lead to creative and logical thinking for solving real issues in businesses or daily life. Communication among participants who have preset roles leads the externalization of knowledge. In this study, we set three criteria for evaluating strategic scenarios; novelty, utility, and feasibility, and examine the relationship between externalized knowledge and the evaluation values, in order to consider factors which affect the evaluations. Regarding a word contained in roles and scenarios as the smallest unit of knowledge, we calculate Relativeness between roles and scenarios. The results of our experiment suggest that the lower the relativeness of a strategic scenario, the higher the strategic scenario is evaluated in novelty. In addition, in the evaluation of utility, a scenario satisfying a covert requirement tends to be estimated higher. Moreover, we found the externalization of stakeholders may affect the realization of strategic scenarios

データ市場における知識構造化に基づくデータ利活用シナリオ検討プロセスの研究

学位の種別: 課程博士審査委員会委員 : （主査）東京大学教授 大澤 幸生, 国立情報学研究所教授 山田 誠二, 千葉大学教授 阿部 明典, 東京大学教授 古田 一雄, 東京大学教授 和泉 潔, 東京大学准教授 小林 肇University of Tokyo(東京大学

Intake of Radionuclides in the Trees of Fukushima Forests 5. Earthquake Could Have Caused an Increase in Xyloglucan in Trees

A megathrust earthquake caused the Fukushima–Daiichi nuclear power plant accident, which dispersed abundant radioiodines, causing them to be bound to xyloglucan into forest trees. Nevertheless, targeted xyloglucan was found in increased quantities in the annual rings of forest trees affected by the earthquake. We propose that trees could acclimate rapidly to shaking stress through an increase in xyloglucan deposition as a plant response under natural phenomena